• Home
  • About
  • Reading Lists
    • Egypt
    • Great Books
    • Iran
    • Islam
    • Israel
    • Liberalism
    • Napoleon
    • Nationalism
    • The Nuclear Age
    • Science
    • Russia
    • Turkey
  • Digital Footprint
    • Facebook
    • Instagram
    • Pocket
    • SoundCloud
    • Twitter
    • Tumblr
    • YouTube
  • Contact
    • Email

Chaturanga

~ statecraft, strategy, society, and Σοφíα

Chaturanga

Category Archives: Pakistan

Can India and Pakistan be Friends?

01 Fri Jul 2016

Posted by Jaideep A. Prabhu in Book Review, India, Pakistan, South Asia

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

Aslam Siddiqi, Atal Behari Vajpayee, Ayub Khan, Chaudhry Kaliq-uz-Zaman, Husain Haqqani, Hyderabad, India, Islam, Jawaharlal Nehru, Jogendranath Mandal, Junagadh, Kashmir, Khaled Ahmed, Liaquat Ali Khan, Mohammad Ismail, Muhammad Ali Jinnah, nuclear, Pakistan, Sajjad Zaheer, Vallabhbhai Patel, Waheed-uz-Zaman

India vs Pakistan - Why Can't We Just Be FriendsHaqqani, Husain. India vs Pakistan: Why Can’t We Just Be Friends? New Delhi: Juggernaut, 2016. 200 pp.

More like a long essay than a book, Husain Haqqani’s latest book, India vs Pakistan: Why Can’t We Just Be Friends? is written for the layman. Yet its simplicity is deceptive – within its casually written, smooth-flowing narrative are a few insightful observations by a man who has served his country at the highest echelons of power. Some of these views these views are not popular, if not on one side of the border then the other. Haqqani has been hounded by many in his own country as unpatriotic, and some of his comments are bound to irk Indians as well. As an Indian myself, I cannot claim complete objectivity on the sensitive issue of India’s relations with its troublesome neighbour, Pakistan. That, however, may not be a bad thing, for human affairs are seldom dispassionate and rational: if a policy does not appeal to the emotions and aspirations of a people, as Britain’s recent almost-exit from the European Union demonstrated, its rationality is unlikely to provide it much succour. Besides, such objectivity, closely observed, is a myth.

Much of what Haqqani narrates is not new to anyone who has even peripherally followed South Asian politics. However, the author highlights events and views that raise tantalising ‘what-ifs’ of history and are often ignored in cynicism or frustration. For example, Haqqani reminds us how nebulous the idea of partition was even after the fact: that Muhammad Ali Jinnah wanted India and Pakistan to be friendly neighbours like the United States and Canada shows that the founder of the Islamic republic had not thought through the consequences of demanding a separate homeland for the subcontinent’s Muslims.

Another example is of Mohammad Ismail, the man Pakistan had nominated to be their first high commissioner to India. Ismail refused to adopt Pakistani nationality or move to the newly formed Pakistan despite his nomination. Others, such as Chaudhry Khaliq-uz-Zaman, the leader of the Pakistan Muslim League, went back and forth several times to see which country promised better prospects before settling down. Jogendranath Mandal, a Bengali scheduled caste leader, served as Pakistan’s first law and labour minister and second minister of Commonwealth and Kashmir affairs before returning to settle down in Calcutta. Sajjad Zaheer, an Uttar Pradeshi Muslim who had become the leader of the Pakistan Communist Party, was arrested for sedition in 1951 and was deported to India after he reclaimed Indian citizenship.

India vs Pakistan is not just about factoids that have slipped from public memory: Haqqani also has an interesting diagnosis of the South Asian rivalry. Although Islamabad treats Kashmir as the root of all problems between India and Pakistan, according to Haqqani, it is merely a symptom. We have heard this before from Christine Fair, associate professor at the Centre for Peace and Security Studies at Georgetown University’s Edmund A Walsh School of Foreign Service in Washington, DC. Haqqani adds that this arises from the deep insecurity Pakistan feels in the suspicion that India has not truly accepted Partition. Congress had, vehemently opposed partition when the British were still ruling the subcontinent, and several leaders, Jawaharlal Nehru and Vallabhbhai Patel included, publicly doubted the viability of the stump that had been hacked from the body of Mother India. The Congress resolution that accepted the partition plan nonetheless spoke of the geographic unity of an united India and the day the two-nation theory would be discredited and discarded by all. Pakistan interpreted this statement as an implicit Indian desire to undo partition even though Nehru also explicitly said in public that he would not want to inherit Pakistan’s problems on top of his own and did not yearn to re-embrace Pakistan. After the Third Indo-Pakistan War in 1971, that India did not seek to annex East Pakistan should have dispelled fears but even that did not drive home the point. For that matter, Atal Behari Vajpayee assured Pakistan during his visit to Lahore in February 1999 that India had accepted the creation of the Islamic state and had no desire to undo Partition.

For Pakistan, this is a fundamental question of identity: if they were not Muslims, were they merely second-rate Indians? asked one Pakistani official in a 1980 interview to an American newspaper. As the Pakistani academic Waheed-uz-Zaman wrote, “If the Arabs, the Turks, the Iranians, God forbid, give up Islam, the Arabs yet remain Arabs, the Turks remain Turks, the Iranians remain Iranians, but what do we remain if we give up Islam?” This was a poignant question for Pakistan then as it still is.

The power of Islam was, thus, deeply infused with Pakistani nationalism from the beginning and not the result of radicalisation in the 1980s as many believe. Even as early as the 1950s, Ayub Khan punctuated his speeches to the nation with references to the weak and cowardly Hindus, an ultimately flawed stereotype he had learned without reflection from the British theory of martial races. “The 100 million people of Pakistan whose hearts beat with the sound of la ilaha ill Allah, Muhammad ur rasool ullah will not rest until India’s guns are silenced,” he declared.

The Muslim League’s lack of preparedness for independence in 1947 is at the root of the Kashmir problem according to Haqqani. While the Congress party was able to cobble together a union of all but six of the 548 princely states, the Muslim League was unable to confirm the borders of their new state until a few months after the momentous occasion. Even then, the new state’s leaders were not able to persuade everyone and military force had to be used against Kalat in March 1948. Only Swat had voluntarily joined the Islamic republic by Independence Day. Additionally, Haqqani says, while Patel was willing to concede Kashmir to Pakistan initially, Jinnah’s claim to Junagadh and Hyderabad hardened Patel to Nehru’s position that not an inch of Kashmir can be surrendered. If the Muslims can claim Hindu Hyderabad on the basis of a Muslim ruler, why could India not claim Kashmir under similar circumstances? Jinnah’s ill-prepared and strategic blunder sowed the seeds for a multi-generational insurgency that would poison relations between the neighbours.

Haqqani also traces the use of irregular warfare by Pakistan against India to much before the war in Afghanistan in the 1980s to the late 1950s. Pakistan had used tribal militias in Jammu & Kashmir as early as 1948; Aslam Siddiqi, an official in Ayub’s Bureau of National Reconstruction, advocated as early as 1958 that Pakistan must use jihad through unofficial militias. In a report that warned Pakistan to prepare for the end of its alliance with America, the official asked, “why not train irregular fighters whom even the existing industries of Pakistan can well equip?” Siddiqi’s strategy involved spreading out and prolonging action, hit and run tactics that denied the enemy a firm target, and propaganda to fuel popular uprisings in the enemy camp. This was first tried by Pakistan in the prelude to the 1965 war.

In Pakistan, rather than inherit an army when the British left, it is the army that inherited a country. At Partition, Pakistan received 30 percent of India’s army, 40 percent of its navy, and 20 percent of its air force; in the first budget, Liaquat Ali Khan, the country’s first prime minister, had to allocate 75 percent of his finances to cover the salaries and maintenance of this enormous force. This lopsided relationship between Army and State has plagued the Islamic republic ever since. The military has had an unduly loud voice in the country’s governance and its obsession with India has perverted Pakistani society. To the horror of strategists everywhere, Pakistani generals speak casually of the use of nuclear weapons against India; Pakistan remains the only country whose nuclear programme is predicated with a single and named enemy in mind – India. To this end, Haqqani relates how the country’s diplomats covertly acquired equipment and material for the nuclear programme like smugglers, and proud of it they were, too. As Pakistan’s former ambassador to the United States puts it succinctly, to seek security against a conventionally armed neighbour far superior to you is understandable but to seek parity is folly. It is this military quest for parity over the decades that has twisted Pakistani mentality towards India. According to Pakistani public intellectual Khaled Ahmed, “Pakistani nationalism comprises 95 percent India hatred. They call it Islam because that is how we learn to differentiate between ourselves and India.”

Interestingly, while Indians berate Nehru, Haqqani feels that the Indian leader moved methodically and deliberately on the strategic chessboard to gradually integrate Kashmir into India; Pakistani-sponsored terrorism did the rest by shifting the world’s sympathy from Pakistan in the early years to India at present. This perspective from across the border, especially from a man who has walked in the corridors of power, whether one agrees with it or not, deserves some careful reflection.

As interesting and thoughtful a diagnosis of the sub-continental psychosis as this may be, what is the solution? Haqqani feels that the rise of Hindu chauvinist forces in recent years does not give Pakistan confidence in Indian intentions. The saffronisation of education – or attempts in the direction – confirm to Pakistanis that Indians still cling to the idea of Akhand Bharat. These developments compound the already irrational acts on the other side of the border. Although communal fervour has been painted as a problem of the Bharatiya Janata Party, Haqqani observes that Congress was the first to use the Muslims as a vote bank; they did this continually, “reminding the community that they would have been better off had Pakistan not been created,” that they had been abandoned. Of course, the comparison between an Indian Hindu identity and a Pakistan Muslim identity is not analogous for historical as well as philosophical reasons but this is not the space for that debate.

Asked about a potential future in this gloomy climate, Haqqani replies that his objective is to “change the context of the relationship, from the embittered twins born at partition in 1947 to neighbors who cannot get away from one another and must learn to live with each other.” Towards this end, he advocates the freer flow of students, artists, doctors, musicians, poets, and athletes between the two countries as it used to be in the first couple of decades after partition: until 1951, when Pakistan formalised its citizenship law, Muslims could travel back and forth between India and Pakistan without even a passport. That document was introduced in 1952, for travel just between the two countries; visas requirements came only in 1965. The former ambassador is aware that this will not happen overnight – as long as each side suspects the other of trying to destroy them, the guns will not fall silent. Yet it is only through greater people-to-people contact that Pakistanis and Indians can dispel their misconceptions about each other. If the commonalities between the two peoples can be reignited, “the contrived animosities could begin to diminish.”

Haqqani is also sceptical about the role outside powers could play. Historically, the United States armed the Pakistan which permitted the Islamic state to have delusions of grandeur in the first place and stand up to India. More recently, however, both the United States and China, Pakistan’s new best friend, have urged the country’s leadership to resolve its issues with India peaceably or at least shelve it for later. As Haqqani explains, such intervention inevitably fans the fantasy of parity in Islamabad. “India and Pakistan need to talk to each other because it is in their interest.”

Yet Pakistan does not trust India because the latter has not done enough to reassure the former that there would be no attempt to reabsorb Pakistan again into India. How can this mistrust be reduced? Like in a merry-go-round, we return to the issue of greater people-to-people exchange. The Pakistani military would be loathe to allow greater civilian exchanges and India is stuck on its principle of reciprocity. “Any Pakistani suggesting that normalization of ties with India can preceded a final settlement over Kashmir runs the risk of being dubbed ‘traitor’.” The problem for Pakistan’s military is that after seven decades of peddling Kashmir as their primary national cause, it is not easy to suddenly effect a major shift in priorities. If Delhi could show some flexibility and allow a small number of visits, it might begin to thaw an otherwise seemingly hopeless situation.

A question that has arisen recently in the internal Indian debate on Pakistan is with whom India should negotiate. On the one hand, civilian governments are, some would argue, the moral choice though they have proven to be ineffective at producing results. On the other, the military may be capable of delivering on their promises but they have a poor track record and prove an unstable partner for the peaceful future of India-Pakistan relations. Haqqani argues that ties at purely one level cannot succeed because any civilian leader that makes too much headway in peace talks runs the risk of being undercut by the military. Instead, India must encourage a civilian leadership but maintain ties at several levels as it does with other countries. Cooperation on addressing the melting of the Himalayan glaciers or irrigating the Sindh-Rajasthan desert will give both sides a mutually beneficial goal to work towards while simultaneously building relations beyond governments, civilian or military.

The Army cannot be sidelined or wished away in a state that has been a military dictatorship for most of its history. By far the most influential actor in Pakistani society, the military has cultivated a nationalist narrative that sees India as an existential threat; this narrative has been furthered by educational institutions and the media. Yet Pakistan has had two successive civilian governments and that is also an encouraging sign. This evolution, however, Haqqani notes, is a function of Pakistani politics and outsiders – China, the United States, India, or anyone else – cannot dictate it.

The essence of Haqqani’s solution boils down to greater contact between the two societies. It is not a quick fix, the author admits, but it is the only possible long-term solution towards peace on the subcontinent. As unappetising as this may seem to some sections of Indian society, there is something to this seemingly simple solution: during the Cold War, the West allowed citizens of the Communist East to visit, travel, and see their countries. For those who could not get the opportunity or permission to travel, the United States used radio and television broadcasting to target Eastern European and Soviet audiences. Democratic Western culture, despite all its flaws, itself became a powerful psychological weapon against the repressive Communist regimes. In the end, rock and roll had a role to play in the demise of the Warsaw Pact as did Wall Street and Minuteman missiles. An open, inclusive, and confident India, even unilaterally so, may just be the way to tilt the scales towards India’s side…not, of course, at the expense of conventional security wisdom.

At times provocative, sometimes insightful, and always simple and coherent, India vs Pakistan makes for an excellent introduction for laypeople to India’s troubled relations with its Islamic neighbour to the West. And for Indians, it provides a useful and articulate perspective from across the border.

Share this:

  • Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Tumblr (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)
  • Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)
  • Click to print (Opens in new window)
  • More
  • Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)

Like this:

Like Loading...

Pakistan and the NSG

09 Thu Jun 2016

Posted by Jaideep A. Prabhu in India, Nuclear, Pakistan, South Asia

≈ Comments Off on Pakistan and the NSG

Tags

AQ Khan, China, India, Kahuta, Khushab, Non-Proliferation Treaty, NPT, NSG, nuclear, Nuclear Suppliers Group, Pakistan

On May 19, Pakistan formally applied to the Nuclear Suppliers Group for membership via a letter to the chairman of the NSG through Islamabad’s ambassador in Vienna. The letter stated the Islamic republic’s belief that it stood on solid ground in terms of technical experience, manufacturing capability, and a firm commitment to nuclear safety and non-proliferation. Pakistan has been agitated ever since the United States offered to bring India into the international civilian nuclear trading community in 2005 and has been hankering after a similar arrangement to regain parity with its existential South Asian rival.

Islamabad’s application for NSG membership is difficult to take seriously and can at best be surmised to be a way to clutter the field by bringing South Asia’s perilous and intractable nuclear rivalry to the forefront of international discussion. Averse to even tangentially affecting the fragile balance of terror in the region, the NSG will, Pakistan hopes, deny both South Asian states admission into the cartel. Thus, Islamabad can play spoiler for India while appearing to push its interests in earnest.

The reason Pakistan’s sincerity regarding its NSG membership application raises doubt is its complete failure to be a viable candidate even by its own criteria. First, its technical experience: it is true that Pakistan has been operating a nuclear reactor since 1971. That first reactor, built at Paradise Point in Karachi, was provided by Canada. Since then, Pakistan has acquired only two more nuclear power reactors, both from China, though eight more are in various stages of construction or planning. Pakistan is yet to design and build a reactor on its own without any assistance from its patron, China. This includes not just the civilian reactors but also its military infrastructure at Kahuta and Khushab. While any experience with nuclear reactors is valuable, Islamabad has simply not yet seen a nuclear project through from the drawing board to the electricity board. This is because Pakistan’s nuclear programme has always had an overwhelming military component whereas the Indian programme was a civilian project that retained some ambiguity and ambivalence about weaponisation.

By contrast, India has the largest fleet of indigenously built CANDU-based reactors in the world; it presently has 22 nuclear power reactors, only two of which are of Russian origin. India has also made great strides in fast and thorium reactors and is on the verge of connecting one of the former to the grid and breaking ground on the latter.

NSG controlled goodsSecond, Pakistan’s manufacturing capabilities: according to an interesting study of export controls and dual-use goods by Ian Stewart, senior research fellow at King’s College, London, Pakistan has the ability to manufacture or produce heavy water, nuclear manipulators, marraging steel, and zirconium. In each case, there seems to be only one agent, probably the state, and capacity is insufficient for export. It is unlikely that Pakistan wishes to join the NSG because of its niche manufacturing strengths or surplus capacity.

It is possible that Pakistan wishes to join the NSG to gain access to controlled goods that it cannot manufacture. However, it is possible to accommodate those needs without allowing the Islamic republic entry into the nuclear cartel. Pakistan has already stated that it is willing to accept IAEA safeguards over all its civilian facilities just as India agreed in 2008 – when the international community is assured of Islamabad’s bonafide intentions, it may consider extending civil nuclear cooperation without necessarily opening the doors to the NSG.

India is no nuclear exporter of note either, but, the country has managed to develop a small industry of almost a dozen and half items on the NSG’s controlled goods list including flow forming machines, vacuum pumps, high strength aluminium, and isostatic presses. India’s accession to the NSG will ease the import of some controlled goods though enrichment and reprocessing technology and equipment is still reserved for signatories of the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Finally, Pakistan’s commitment to nuclear safety and non-proliferation: politics must teach its practitioners how to utter the baldest lies with a straight face. Pakistan’s commitment to nuclear non-proliferation, or lack thereof, is exactly why it universally gets a hostile reception to its nuclear mainstreaming. The AQ Khan network proliferated nuclear technology to some of the most unsavoury regimes in the world – North Korea, Libya, and Iran. Pakistan and its publicly revered nuclear scientist have escaped punition only by virtue of Islamabad’s geopolitical usefulness to the United States.

If the world community were to look past such a grievous transgression so soon, especially so soon after the Western powers moved heaven and earth to bring Iran’s nuclear ambitions under the IAEA’s purview, it would send a wrong message to future proliferators. Were the roles reversed, had India proliferated to Cambodia, Vietnam, Taiwan, and Japan – states far more palatable than Pakistan’s partners – would the international community be willing to look the other way after a little over a decade and without any punitive measures?

Pakistan and its patron, China, are using the rhetoric of non-discriminatory criteria for NSG membership to sweep a rich slice of Pakistan’s capabilities and non-proliferation track record under the rug. Pace all the well-intentioned desires from officials and scholars, the NSG will remain a discriminatory body because it was conceived in that original sin and can only perpetuate what it knows best. Between the Non-Proliferation Treaty’s consecration of nuclear apartheid and the NSG’s willful disregard of many of its members’ blatant violations in the past, the nuclear exports control regime will remain discriminatory. Short of overhauling the entire structure, we can only hope that the members of the cartel discriminate in favour of positive values rather than a cynical manipulation of the international order.


This post appeared on FirstPost on June 10, 2016.

Share this:

  • Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Tumblr (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)
  • Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)
  • Click to print (Opens in new window)
  • More
  • Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)

Like this:

Like Loading...

Modi’s Pakistan Gambit

27 Sun Dec 2015

Posted by Jaideep A. Prabhu in India, Pakistan, South Asia

≈ Comments Off on Modi’s Pakistan Gambit

Tags

Afghanistan, Dawood Ibrahim, Hafiz Saeed, India, Kashmir, Narendra Modi, Nawaz Sharif, nuclear, Pakistan, Siachen, Sir Creek, terrorism, Tulbul Navigation Project, Wullar Barrage, Zakiur Rehman Lakhvi

Narendra Modi’s ‘surprise’ halt in Pakistan on his way back from Afghanistan and Russia has delighted observers worldwide. The prime minister’s visit coincided with the birthday of his Pakistani counterpart, Nawaz Sharif, and the two leaders briefly stopped by the wedding of Sharif’s granddaughter. Apparently, Modi called Sharif the morning of his visit and requested a quick meeting. Modi’s meeting with Sharif lasted two hours but neither side has released a statement on what was discussed between the two prime ministers.

Modi’s visit comes on the back of other high-level meetings between the representatives of the two South Asian rivals. Earlier this month, on December 6, the national security advisors of both nations – India’s Ajit Doval and Pakistan’s newly-appointed Naseer Khan Janjua – met in Bangkok; less than a week later, External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj visited Islamabad on December 10 for the Heart of Asia conference where she met with the Pakistani prime minister and Sartaj Aziz, who is now Sharif’s foreign affairs advisor. The prime ministerial visit will be followed by a meeting of the two countries’ foreign secretaries, S. Jaishankar and Aizaz Ahmad Chaudhry, next month.

The response to Modi’s stopover in Pakistan enjoys the ‘baby effect’ – no one ever tells a mother that her baby is ugly. Similarly, no one ever dismisses attempts at peacemaking, however foolhardy they may be. The items on the agenda between the two countries are obvious as they have remained unchanged for years – Kashmir, Siachen, Sir Creek, Wullar Barrage, Tulbul Navigation Project, economic and commercial cooperation, counter-terrorism, and narcotics control; recent additions may include humanitarian issues, people to people exchanges, and religious tourism.

The immediate benefits to both states are also obvious: for Pakistan, it gives the military time to deal with the blowback of their Islamist flirtations and improved relations with India and a calmer atmosphere might attract greater foreign investment the Pakistani economy desperately needs. Modi’s visit also adds to Sharif’s credibility that his civilian government is more than something that is merely tolerated by the security establishment for public relations purposes. For India, Modi’s economic rejuvenation programme would be greatly aided if some semblance of grudging coexistence could be achieved with Pakistan. For starters, allowing trade between Afghanistan and India at the Wagah-Attari would greatly assist in the economic recovery of the Central Asian republic which has so far been forced to trade with India via Iran. This year, Pakistan allowed the shipment of 100,000 tonnes of wheat from India to Afghanistan via Karachi and both Kabul and Delhi hope that this is an indication of future cooperation from Islamabad. Fortune may also smile upon the gas pipeline from Turkmenistan to India via Afghanistan and Pakistan: India’s burgeoning economy needs energy and Pakistan stands to make a tidy sum via transit fees. The domestic image of the prime minister and his party stand to gain somewhat by making it harder for critics to paint either with an anti-Muslim paintbrush in light of the administration’s friendly overtures to Pakistan.

The zero-sum nature of India-Pakistan relations, however, does not lead one to an optimistic conclusion. In fact, India has been down this path with Pakistan on several occasions in the past with nothing to show for the effort. Little has changed since those attempts and one must wonder to what one owes Modi’s latest gambit. For once, the Twitter trolls are correct in asking what has changed since August 2014 when the Modi government abruptly cancelled talks with Pakistan over the latter’s meeting with Kashmiri separatists, and again almost exactly a year later when Pakistan called off talks after India demanded an assurance from the Pakistani delegation that it would not meet with Kashmiri separatists.

It has been suggested that there has been international pressure brought to bear upon both sides for resuming talks. This may be true but it is worth recalling that this pressure is fickle and foolish, attempting to cast the situation in Afghanistan as a struggle between the “good Taliban” and the “bad Taliban.” The only thing worth considering about this pressure is its deep pockets and the influence it can lease. It is this same international pressure that has kept Pakistan a viable state and supported its military, ostensibly against the Taliban but in reality against its eastern neighbour.

Castigating the prime minister’s well-intentioned yet ultimately meaningless gesture is not, however, to suggest that India take an overtly militaristic stance. India must continue to repel Pakistani infiltrators at the border and thwart its attempts at fomenting terrorism as it does now. This is an unsatisfactory state of affairs that is the reality of the neighbourhood. However, Delhi has been busy developing its relations the countries of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and it should continue to do so without placing undue importance on Islamabad’s spoiling tantrums. Road and rail networks, ease of travel, shipping hubs, educational links, and trade between the nations of the region will build them into a community of nations in which Pakistan’s asymmetric thinking will be an unwelcome outlier. If India can serve as the dynamo of regional economic growth, it will be to the benefit of these countries and they will be pulled into a tighter and co-dependent network with Delhi. Islamabad will find it a lonelier world and be an increasing burden on its only patron, China.

An Indian policy of simply ignoring its western neighbour and making matters difficult economically where it can is not an unknown strategy of international politics. The Stimson and Hallstein doctrines, Beijing’s One China policy, and the United States’ refusal to move its embassy in Israel to Jerusalem comes immediately to mind – not identical situations, but analogies seldom are. Less severe than a blockade or diplomatic de-recognition, nonchalance nonetheless sends a clear diplomatic signal to the world that Delhi will not be held hostage to Rawalpindi’s internal compulsions or short-sightedness. Obviously the larger and more promising economy, India has the power to lift the region along with it and can leave its deformed twin behind without much difficulty.

One hopes that the slow simmer of being a pariah will compel the boys in Rawalpindi to re-evaluate their strategy vis-à-vis India, not to mention their own national self-imagination. The cost of remaining an outlier will be steep and increase over time if India can successfully integrate into the region’s sociopolitical framework. Ignoring the squeals for attention from Islamabad will allow India to focus on more important issues – its economy, relations with its neighbours, and the real threat from across the Himalayas. Islamabad’s petulance will surely come but one must ask what more can they do to India that they are not already? Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal continues to grow at the fastest pace in the world and Islamabad has a stated policy of the first use of tactical nuclear weapons against India; the Islamic republic continues to be a safe haven for terrorists operating against India, one where some of the most wanted men in the world such as Hafiz Saeed, Zakiur Rehman Lakhvi, and Dawood Ibrahim are afforded state protection.

Given the severe constraint on India’s military options against Pakistan’s asymmetric allies, the only recourse is to act economically and diplomatically. Outspending Pakistan on defence modernisation while simultaneously allowing them to fester in an internal instability of their own making will force Rawalpindi to take responsibility for their actions thus far. Furthermore, with less government – and public – attention spent on coming up with ways to placate an irresponsible and flailing state, by not just insisting that the United States and other powers de-hyphenate India and Pakistan but doing so ourselves, Modi Sarkar might find that it is left with more intellectual and diplomatic capital to pursue goals that might actually yield something. India-Pakistan relations have only been about theatrics since May 1998 and it is time Indian leaders realised this and moved on.

Share this:

  • Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Tumblr (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)
  • Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)
  • Click to print (Opens in new window)
  • More
  • Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)
  • Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)

Like this:

Like Loading...
← Older posts
Newer posts →

Chirps

  • How California's Jewish community won the battle against the state's education system: bit.ly/2ZZ8pcg | Fi… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 2 days ago
  • US diplomat openly calls for Christian nation-states, rails against Jews: politi.co/3sxwl30 | I guess the "op… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 2 days ago
  • Korean boy-band yet again the subject of racism in Germany: bit.ly/2ZXA8dm | Radio host at Bayern3 Matthia… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 3 days ago
  • Today, in 2001, Mullah Omar issued a decree that ordered the destruction of all non-Islamic sanctuaries in Afghanis… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 3 days ago
  • China gives US diplomats anal Wuhan virus test: bit.ly/2ZTic3W | *seriously, no comment* 😷😶...🤣 3 days ago
Follow @orsoraggiante

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 213 other followers

Follow through RSS

  • RSS - Posts

Categories

Archives

Recent Posts

  • The Mysterious Case of India’s Jews
  • Polarised Electorates
  • The Election Season
  • Does Narendra Modi Have A Foreign Policy?
  • India and the Bomb
  • Nationalism Restored
  • Jews and Israel, Nation and State
  • The Asian in Europe
  • Modern Political Shibboleths
  • The Death of Civilisation
  • Hope on the Korean Peninsula
  • Diminishing the Heathens
  • The Writing on the Minority Wall
  • Mischief in Gaza
  • Politics of Spite
  • Thoughts on Nationalism
  • Never Again (As Long As It Is Convenient)
  • Earning the Dragon’s Respect
  • Creating an Indian Lake
  • Does India Have An Israel Policy?
  • Reclaiming David’s Kingdom
  • Not a Mahatma, Just Mohandas
  • How To Read
  • India’s Jerusalem Misstep
  • A Rebirth of American Power

Management

  • Register
  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.com
Considerate la vostra semenza: fatti non foste a viver come bruti, ma per seguir virtute e canoscenza.

Blog at WordPress.com.

Cancel

 
Loading Comments...
Comment
    ×
    loading Cancel
    Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
    Email check failed, please try again
    Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.
    Privacy & Cookies: This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this website, you agree to their use.
    To find out more, including how to control cookies, see here: Cookie Policy
    %d bloggers like this: